People > Dr Susan Kay

Dr Susan Kay

Numerical Modeller



Contact Details

+44 (0)1752 633100 (switchboard)

suka25/11/2017 07:30:50@pml.ac.uk

Dr Susan Kay is a marine ecosystem modeller, working on 3D numerical models for various regions of the world. Currently her interests focus around producing models that will be of value to decision-makers in the fields of marine conservation, fisheries protection and poverty alleviation. She works on both multi-decade projections, which can give insight into the implications of climate change for the marine ecosystem, and short-term runs enhanced by data assimilation, which can assist with monitoring the present state of regional seas.

As part of her PML role, Susan also works at the Met Office, providing science leadership in marine biogeochemistry.

Susan joined PML in January 2012. Prior to this she studied for a PhD at the University of Exeter, using a numerical model of the sea surface to investigate how reflected sunlight can contaminate satellite images of marine environments. Originally trained in physics, she has experience in a range of scientific areas and in education.

Projects

TAPAS

Tools for Assessment and Planning of Aquaculture Sustainability (TAPAS)

Contact: Stefan Simis

The Tools for Assessment and Planning of Aquaculture Sustainability (TAPAS) project is working to create cost-efficient management tools and...

Assessing health, livelihoods, ecosystem services and poverty alleviation in populous deltas (ESPA)
Completed

Assessing health, livelihoods, ecosystem services and poverty alleviation in populous deltas (ESPA)

Contact: Professor Icarus Allen

This ESPA Delta project aims to provide policy makers with the knowledge and tools to enable them to evaluate the effects of decisions on people...

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Other key projects

  • CERES - advancing a cause-and-effect understanding of how climate change will affect European fisheries and aquaculture (EU Horizon 2020, 2016-2020)
  • DECCMA - the impact of climate change in three developing-world deltas. (UK and Canadian Aid agencies, 2014-2018)
  • NOWMAPS – providing and improving model data for the European North West Shelf to the Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service (EC Copernicus-CMEMS, 2015-2018)
  • TAPAS – developing tools, approaches and frameworks to support a regulatory framework for sustainable aquaculture (EU Horizon 2020, 2016-2020)

Recent publications

  • Queiros, AM; Huebert, KB; Keyl, F; Fernandes, JA; Stolte, W; Maar, M; Kay, S; Jones, MC; Hamon, KG; Hendriksen, G; Vermard, Y; Marchal, P; Teal, LR; Somerfield, PJ; Austen, MC; Barange, M; Sell, AF; Allen, JI; Peck, MA. 2016 Solutions for ecosystem-level protection of ocean systems under climate change. Global Change Biology, 22. 3927-3936. 10.1111/gcb.13423
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  • Payo, A; Mukhopadhyay, A; Hazra, S; Ghosh, T; Ghosh, S; Brown, S; Nicholls, R; Bricheno, L; Wolf, J; Kay, S; Lázár, A; Haque, A. 2016 Projected changes in area of the Sundarban mangrove forest in Bangladesh due to SLR by 2100. Climatic Change, 139 (2). 279-291. 10.1007/s10584-016-1769-z
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  • Kay, S; Caesar, J; Wolf, J; Bricheno, L; Nicholls, RJ; Saiful Islam, AKM; Haque, A; Pardaens, A; Lowe, JA. 2015 Modelling the increased frequency of extreme sea levels in the Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna delta due to sea level rise and other effects of climate change [in special issue: ESPA Deltas] Environ. Sci.: Processes Impacts, 17 (7). 1311-1322. 10.1039/C4EM00683F
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  • Kay, S; Butenschon, M. 2016 Projections of change in key ecosystem indicators for planning and management of marine protected areas: An example study for European seas. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science. 10.1016/j.ecss.2016.03.003 (In Press)
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  • Butenschon, M; Clark, JR; Aldridge, JN; Allen, JI; Artioli, Y; Blackford, JC; Bruggeman, J; Cazenave, P; Ciavatta, S; Kay, S; Lessin, G; van Leeuwen, S; Van der Molen, J; de Mora, L; Polimene, L; Sailley, SF; Stephens, N; Torres, R. 2016 ERSEM 15.06: a generic model for marine biogeochemistry and the ecosystem dynamics of the lower trophic levels. Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (4). 1293-1339. 10.5194/gmd-9-1293-2016
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  • Ciavatta, S; Kay, S; Saux Picart, S; Butenschon, M; Allen, JI. 2016 Decadal reanalysis of biogeochemical indicators and fluxes in the North West European shelf-sea ecosystem. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans. 10.1002/2015JC011496 (In Press)
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View more publications

Selected key publications

Fernandes, J.A., Kay, S., Hossain, M.A.R., Ahmed, M., Cheung, W.W.L., Lazar, A.N., Barange, M., (2015). Projecting marine fish production and catch potential in Bangladesh in the 21st century under long-term environmental change and management scenarios. ICES J. Mar. Sci. J. Cons. fsv217. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsv217