People > Dr Susan Kay

Dr Susan Kay

Numerical Modeller



Contact Details

+44 (0)1752 633100 (switchboard)

suka26/04/2019 16:41:42@pml.ac.uk

Dr Susan Kay is a marine ecosystem modeller, working on 3D numerical models for various regions of the world. Currently her interests focus around producing models that will be of value to decision-makers in the fields of marine conservation, fisheries protection and poverty alleviation. She works on both multi-decade projections, which can give insight into the implications of climate change for the marine ecosystem, and short-term runs enhanced by data assimilation, which can assist with monitoring the present state of regional seas.

As part of her PML role, Susan also works at the Met Office, providing science leadership in marine biogeochemistry.

Susan joined PML in January 2012. Prior to this she studied for a PhD at the University of Exeter, using a numerical model of the sea surface to investigate how reflected sunlight can contaminate satellite images of marine environments. Originally trained in physics, she has experience in a range of scientific areas and in education.

Projects

GCRF Blue Communities

GCRF Blue Communities

Contact: Professor Melanie Austen

GCRF Blue Communities is a 4 year research capacity-building programme for marine planning in East and South-East (E/SE) Asia, funded by UK...

TAPAS

Tools for Assessment and Planning of Aquaculture Sustainability (TAPAS)

Contact: Stefan Simis

The Tools for Assessment and Planning of Aquaculture Sustainability (TAPAS) project is working to create cost-efficient management tools and...

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Other key projects

  • CERES - advancing a cause-and-effect understanding of how climate change will affect European fisheries and aquaculture (EU Horizon 2020, 2016-2020)
  • DECCMA - the impact of climate change in three developing-world deltas. (UK and Canadian Aid agencies, 2014-2018)
  • NOWMAPS – providing and improving model data for the European North West Shelf to the Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service (EC Copernicus-CMEMS, 2015-2018)
  • TAPAS – developing tools, approaches and frameworks to support a regulatory framework for sustainable aquaculture (EU Horizon 2020, 2016-2020)

Recent publications

  • Adams, H; Kay, S. 2019 Migration as a human affair: Integrating individual stress thresholds into quantitative models of climate migration. Environmental Science & Policy, 93. 129-138. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2018.10.015
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  • Ford, D; Kay, S; McEwan, R; Totterdel, I; Gehlen, M. 2018 Marine Biogeochemical Modelling and Data Assimilation for Operational Forecasting, Reanalysis, and Climate Research. In: Chassignet, EP; Pascual, A; Tintoré, J; Verron, J, (eds.) New Frontiers in Operational Oceanography. GODAE OceanView, 625-652.
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  • Skákala, J; Ford, D; Brewin, RJW; McEwan, R; Kay, S; Taylor, BH; de Mora, L; Ciavatta, S. 2018 The Assimilation of Phytoplankton Functional Types for Operational Forecasting in the Northwest European Shelf. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JC014153
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  • Kebede, AS; Nicholls, RJ; Allan, A; Arto, I; Cazcarro, I; Fernandes, JA; Hill, CT; Hutton, CW; Kay, S; Lázár, AN; Macadam, I; Palmer, M; Suckall, N; Tompkins, EL; Vincent, K; Whitehead, PW. 2018 Applying the global RCP–SSP–SPA scenario framework at sub-national scale: A multi-scale and participatory scenario approach. Science of The Total Environment, 635. 659-672. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.03.368
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  • Lauria, V; Das, I; Hazra, S; Cazcarro, I; Arto, I; Kay, S; Ofori-Danson, P; Ahmed, M; Hossain, MAR; Barange, M; Fernandes, JA. 2018 Importance of fisheries for food security across three climate change vulnerable deltas. Science of The Total Environment, 640-64. 1566-1577. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.06.011
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  • Barange, M; Fernandes, JA; Kay, S; Hossain, MAR; Ahmed, M; Lauria, V. 2018 Marine Ecosystems and Fisheries: Trends and Prospects. In: Nicholls, RJ; Hutton, CW; Adger, WN; Hanson, SE; Rahman, MM; Salehin, M, (eds.) Ecosystem Services for Well-Being in Deltas. Cham, Springer International Publishing, 469-488, 20pp.
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Selected key publications

Fernandes, J.A., Kay, S., Hossain, M.A.R., Ahmed, M., Cheung, W.W.L., Lazar, A.N., Barange, M., (2015). Projecting marine fish production and catch potential in Bangladesh in the 21st century under long-term environmental change and management scenarios. ICES J. Mar. Sci. J. Cons. fsv217. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsv217